In CEVL we are documenting, modeling and forecasting Michigan's changing land use and land cover. This is to better understand the influence of changing land use patterns and subsequent fragmentation of the landscape on Michigan' land-based industries. These include agriculture, forestry, mining, and recreation and tourism. To accomplish this we have used a base of 1980 land use and land cover. Using a Michigan Tipping Point Model, we can project future land use patterns to 2040. Then, we will conduct spatial statistical analysis on geographic layers of each of Michigan's Counties for several periods (1980, 1995, 2020, 2040) to characterize changes in fragmentation for the major land use types in the state (built, agriculture, forest, other vegetation, wetlands, lakes and barren lands). Collaborating economists will then assess the potential impacts on each of the land-based industries, based on these spatial projections and fragmentation statistics.